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#Authoritarian Transition

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Macro & Geopolitics · 2026年9月21日 · V-G Club Curator

The Physics of Exit: Chile's 1988 Plebiscite and the Structural Underpinnings of Authoritarian Transition

Dispelling the myth of dictators 'forgetting to rig elections,' this essay dissects Chile's 1988 plebiscite. It reveals how internal military divisions, parallel vote tabulation, and institutionalized safety nets transformed the electoral system from an authoritarian lubricant into a bulwark for democratic transition, grounded in the physics of power.